Inflation-Adjusted Annuities

An inflation-adjusted annuity is a type of annuity that provides a payment stream that adjusts with inflation. This variable cash flow is a special feature that regular fixed annuities do not offer.

Often referred to as an inflation-protected annuity, an inflation-adjusted annuity guarantees a real rate of return that matches or exceeds the rate of inflation. According to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, the real rate is the true economic benefit offered by an investment after taking into account taxes and inflation. On a pre-tax basis, the real rate of return is expressed as follows:

Real Rate of Return = Stated Rate of Return of Investment – Rate of Inflation

Inflation is the increase in the price of something that happens over a set period of time. In the United States, inflation is most frequently and broadly measured by changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), a weighted average of the prices paid for a basket of commonly used consumer goods and services.

A moderate and consistent level of inflation is generally considered a sign of economic health, but rapid price increases can have a destabilizing effect on an economy — and can jeopardize hard-earned retirement savings.

Retirement savings are affected by rapid inflation because retirement portfolios generally have a large allocation of fixed income investments, such as bonds and annuities. While much less volatile than stocks, these types of investments are vulnerable to inflation, which lowers the purchasing power of fixed payment streams.

Imagine a situation where you head into retirement with a fairly tight budget. Things look good initially, but as time progresses, all of your major living expenses — housing costs, food prices, energy bills and medical expenses — go up, while your income remains the same. Over a sustained period of time, the result could be devastating, both financially and emotionally.

On the surface, John’s plan looks solid. Unfortunately, his plan fails to consider the impact inflation will have on his expenses over time.

Although inflation stayed between 1% to 2.3% from 2012 to 2020, annual inflation rates skyrocketed in 2021, rising to 7%. Since then, inflation has continued rising in 2022.

The personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation rates are at 6.3% as of July 2022. PCE inflation covers the rising costs of goods and services. However, according to the International Monetary Fund, PCE inflation rates are expected to go back down to 2% by late 2023.

The first chart below shows how John’s living expenses may increase over time with an inflation rate of 3%. In the second chart, the inflation rate is doubled to 6%.

Even with an estimated inflation rate of 3% (the first chart), John will experience a budget deficit during his lifetime. As highlighted in red, the deficit begins at age 75 with an inflation rate of 3%. With a more aggressive inflation rate of 6% (the second chart), the deficit happens much sooner — at age 70.

While simplistic, this illustration highlights the negative effect inflation can have on even a seemingly smart financial plan. It also emphasizes how much of an effect inflation can have on a fixed stream of income.

All of this factors into a decision about whether an inflation-adjusted annuity is a sensible way to protect your purchasing power in retirement.

An inflation-adjusted annuity generates payments for life or for a specified number of years, just like a regular, fixed annuity. However, with an inflation-adjusted annuity, the payments are adjusted to reflect increases in the CPI, usually up to a specified maximum annual rate, which is referred to as a cap.

While payments could fall due to a decline in the CPI, most inflation-adjusted annuity contracts will set a minimum that annual payments will not fall below. That said, it’s not unusual to see terms in the contract that apply negative CPI changes against future CPI increases. Essentially, this limits your future annual payment increases.

The protection offered by an inflation-adjusted annuity sounds really appealing, but you will end up paying for this feature. The cost will be the difference between the payment you could get with a regular annuity and the lower amount you’ll undoubtedly receive with inflation protection.

The differential will vary from issuer to issuer, but it can easily exceed 25%. The gap tends to shrink as the annuity issuer shifts more inflation risk to you. Normally, this is achieved by lowering the annual inflation adjustment cap.

A moderate level of inflation is generally considered a sign of economic health, but rapid price increases can destabilize an economy and wear away at your purchasing power. The risk is even greater for retirees who rely on fixed streams of income.

For these individuals, runaway cost-of-living increases can easily exhaust hard-earned savings. Fortunately, there are ways to reduce this risk. One potential approach is to purchase an inflation-adjusted annuity, which offers protection against rising prices with a built-in cost-of-living adjustment. In the right circumstances, an inflation-adjusted annuity can ensure an adequate real rate of return throughout retirement.